All the more reason to pay close attention to this section. By the way, very quietly, Murray has been one of the best goal-line RBs in football the past few years. And, for the rest of you, if you (or one of your kids) happens to be starting school soon, I hope you'll take inspiration from Peter. Certainly, is a competitor of Peter's (then) MMQB site and The guys debate 5 controversial players to rank next year and if Matthew is “Bitter Berry” or “Very Berry” for each player’s outlook. I ask you again: What's most likely to happen with the Big Three TEs this year? I'm not saying a little over two and a half points a week isn't something. Draft day is just one piece of the puzzle. This can also include the backups to your first-round picks, who, should something happen to your star, would fill in nicely. Bengals WR A.J. Do you understand how massive an advantage that is? And then ... you do nothing. Just remember, the No. I mean seriously, where the hell else do I have to be? 4. An auction. In general, over the past three years on ESPN, the average difference between players picked in Rounds 4, 5 and 6 is less than 1.5 points per game. Matt Berry, Actor: Avengers: Endgame. The only thing we do know is that we have not had a No. And you're drafting as if that will continue? Other Round 14 targets: Michael Gallup and Royce Freeman. And even if, somehow, there were a slight downturn in production, I wouldn't care. This is where you're taking your defense and your kicker. Last year, the difference between QB3 (Ben Roethlisberger) and QB11 (Mitchell Trubisky, a non-starter in ESPN leagues) on a per-game basis in Weeks 1-17 (ESPN standard season) ... was less than 2.6 points a week. Could mean something, could mean nothing, but why not take the chance and find out? 1. It's a great way to get some real "practice" drafts in that count but have no maintenance beyond the draft. Remember, over the past two seasons, Antonio Brown and Jesse James were responsible for more than one-third of Pittsburgh's red zone receiving TDs, so the opportunity is certainly there, as more than 200 targets are now available for the Steelers. YOLO, baby. What I don't want is no-upside guys like Tate, who will end the season with a few good games, but you'll never know when they are coming. Last season, in the six games in which Williams got 10-plus touches (including the playoffs), he averaged 24.4 fantasy PPG. George Kittle (2018): 258.7 points. You should never expect one of your final picks to be a reliable starter, so a player's floor doesn't really matter at this point in the draft. He averaged 20 touches per game and was top-five in terms of percentage of his team's carries and rushing yards. Is it TE premium scoring? Any player going in the first round has talent and opportunity, but the volume for Johnson is likely to once again be insane. So welcome, friends old and new, to the 21st edition of the heart-stopping, knowledge-dropping, ADP-rocking, booty-shaking, strategy-making, earth-quaking, sleeper-taking, Springsteen-stealing, justifying, death-defying, legendary DRAFT-DAY MANIFESTO. I'll wait. Vikings RB Dalvin Cook does actually hold out all year? Lions WR Marvin Jones Jr. (ADP: WR36, 98.3 overall) outscores fellow Lions WR Kenny Golladay (ADP: WR8, 29.4 overall). This means that every single week you will look at all the players available to you -- on your roster and in the free-agent pool -- and decide on a starting lineup. You remember fun, right? I am of the belief there is no such thing as a bad pick after Round 10 in a 10-team redraft league. It is a great opportunity for networking, for information gathering, for becoming immersed in the NFL for the upcoming year. Well, actually, let's talk about some fantasy football that should also impact real football. 1 wide receiver because his range of outcomes is small. I did two leagues last year (both as the Vampire) and lost in the finals in both (argh, Todd Gurley, whom I had Vampired), but lots of fun. 1 QB in fantasy. Look at our live draft results. And having Matt Ryan and Julio Jones or Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins last year certainly worked out for folks, as did having Amari Cooper and Ezekiel Elliott or Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas. I'm not crazy about DeSean Jackson from a fantasy perspective (except in best-ball leagues), but I do love him for Wentz's value. 2. 10. Odell Beckham Jr. (ADP: 15.5, WR5; My Rank: WR4): If you want a WR, he has a legit shot to be the top fantasy wideout this season. Among those on the panel was Matthew Berry… Where's your Godwin now? Am I drafting on (or the ESPN App), where more people draft than any other site in the world? So looking at average weekly production from WR2s on playoff ESPN teams, it's about 16.6 points per game from that position. 5. Is drafting DeAndre Hopkins or Davante Adams in the first round going to sink your season? ... or some such. I'm a wait-on-QB guy in ESPN standard leagues. 2. Dak Prescott finishes as the No. Finally, the seventh round is where the Bears D/ST is being drafted. We discussed it some in the Rounds 1-3 section, where Mahomes was going. Download it, and if you hate it, just delete it. And if anything happens to Ingram, Dobbins would be a league winner. He is a producer and writer, known for Avengers: Endgame (2019), Daddio (2000) and Desperate Housewives (2004). If you take only one thing away from this article, make it that. Time now for some football and with one final tip of the cap to Peter, here are 10 lists. This probably won't even matter, because you are either drinking the Kool-Aid on Mahomes or you're not, and no logic or reason will sway you from whichever position you have. Obviously, not all things in 2019 are going to be as they were in 2018, so I'm not suggesting these rates are locked in. So yeah, don't get cute inside the top four picks this season, and a strong argument (he said, hopefully) could be made that going running back just about anywhere in the first round is a fine move if you believe that player has the potential to finish inside the top five at the position. Don't get me wrong. That's obviously going to help Beckham, who excels on deep passes. Email … I hear very few people talk about it every year. It's easy to forget because of the injuries, but since the start of 2017, Wentz is the fifth-best QB in fantasy on a points-per-game basis. And in that case, only the commissioner or host website for the league should wield that power. You know what's better than a draft? It doesn't matter that Williams might not be an elite talent, because his role and opportunity are as good as it gets. The 2018 Bears were an outlier. ADP, that's a concern since he hasn't had a ton of time to get on the same page as Kyler Murray. For years, the combine was for, you know, REAL FOOTBALL PEOPLE. So how do we do that? I've been there, my friend. He's a legit third-rounder. And he's gonna share that with stupid me? Example Round 8 target: Mike Williams (ADP: 82.9, WR30; My Rank: WR29): As discussed, this is the area where you start looking at players with upside who have the opportunity to step into larger roles. Amazeballs. Because my mission on this planet isn't done until every man, woman and child plays fantasy football. But please, I beg of you. I mean, come on. In 2018, 60.7% of such performances saw the running back score at least five points as a pass-catcher. The Colts also spent seven of their first eight draft picks on defensive players this year. 7. 6. In fact, 2016 was the last time a Saints WR not named Michael Thomas saw 70-plus targets. Knowing that there will be bye weeks, injuries and many other surprises during the course of the season, what's the best collection of players you can put together on draft day to give you a foundation -- key word there is foundation -- to have the best shot at success every week? 3. Person Woman Man Kamara TD (@j_s_stoef), 6. One If By Lamb, Two If By CeeDee (@ambutter), 7. 10. That those in deep leagues need to know the name of Cardinals TE Dan Arnold, who has continued his great chemistry from the end of last year with QB Kyler Murray in practice. Even last season, with Mahomes setting all sorts of records, there were 11 times when a QB scored 36 points or more in a game, and 10 different QBs appeared on that list (the only duplicate was Trubisky). 4. Oh yeah. He started as a monster and finished with three insane games, but there was a four-game stretch in there (Weeks 10 through 14) where Drake was RB29 on a per-game basis, tied with Duke Johnson. Is it easily repeatable? 1 fantasy site in the world, is that average draft position is largely driven by the default rankings on whichever site you play. When looking at wide receivers, chase volume, not scoring. In 2016, that number rose to 44, and it was up to 54 in 2017. Touchdowns are great. You know how much fun, how awesome, how addictive fantasy football is. The rest of the stuff I do this entire preseason, in columns, on The Fantasy Show on ESPN+, on the Fantasy Football Marathon (Aug. 12 and 13) and on the Fantasy Focus Football podcast will be about player analysis, which players you should look at, which you should avoid and in which rounds to do both of those things. In the five years prior, the average decline in PPG production from the top three TEs to the next seven was just 30.1%. A subscription to RotoPass gives you a year long subscription to ESPN Plus where you get access to expert, exclusive fantasy analysis like The Fantasy Show with Matthew Berry, DFS analysis from DraftKings Millionaire Maker winner Al Zeidenfeld, plus insight from FSWA Hall of Famer Eric Karabell, Accuracy award winner & aDOT creator Mike Clay, X & O Guru Matt Bowen, The … Speaking of high floors, let's talk quickly about the Big Three at tight end: Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz and George Kittle. A good place to start is our Mock Draft Lobby, of course. Determined to prove everyone wrong, he wants a massive season and will stay in to throw even in blowouts, and when they are in close he will check out of run plays for cheap touchdowns as well. So only once in 15 years. ", I went there by myself, not as a part of ESPN's large NFL contingent, veterans of many combines. Every draft pick, every waiver move, potential trade, start/sit decision and every other move. Player S is the 2018 Jaguars D/ST [ADP of DEF1, finished DEF10], Player T is the 2019 Bears D/ST [ADP of DEF1, finished DEF16], Player U is the D/ST FACING the Bears in 2019. Get instant player projections and advice to help you manage your roster and make weekly lineup decisions, like who to start, who to add or drop or even if you should make a trade. That has changed as now there are a decent amount of folks from the fantasy industry, but the very first year I went I saw no other fantasy folks. Matthew Berry's 10 lists of 10 is as much a staple of fantasy draft prep as calling a caterer. I did this for last season and compared the results to the three years prior: OK, you probably didn't need this fancy table to tell you that elite TE production last season was bananas, but I made "Thirsty" Kyle Soppe build it and he's all proud of it, so here you go. 8. That simple. Donte Moncrief (ADP: 141.6, WR49; My Rank: WR42): Just like in Green Bay, we can expect the No. But to me, what makes them so appealing is that if anything happened to Alvin Kamara or Chris Carson, respectively, each would immediately be a top-15 RB that week, if not higher, and be a must-start back. All that said, I love Fantasy Football. ESPN’s Matthew Berry announced the star-studded, 14-team AGBO league earlier this week that was the brainchild of Guillermo Lozano and Avengers: Endgame co-director Joe Russo. 1. It's been an interesting two decades and a year. Antonio Gibson, Washington (ADP RB 45, 150.8 overall), 7. In July 2018, we had no idea that Chicago Bears defensive lineman Akiem Hicks would finish the year with more rushing yards than Le'Veon Bell. Fantasy Football Team (many, in a nod to Washington Football Team), 4. Here is a chart detailing the dropoff from the top five at each position in total fantasy points to the rest of the top 10. Berry started as a writer for television and film and creating a few pilots and film scripts with his writing partner Eric Abrams with varying success. Vikings WR Adam Thielen, currently being drafted in the fourth round, finishes as the No. Player B: ADP of 80.4 with a 19.6 PPG average. Tony Pollard, Dallas Cowboys (ADP RB 44, 149.4 overall), 6. And now he will have another year in Kyle Shanahan's complicated but fantasy-friendly offense and, in theory, improved QB play. Matthew Berry answers your burning fantasy questions with his signature sense of humor. And as we've just learned, class ... AT A FUNDAMENTAL LEVEL, THE KEY TO FANTASY FOOTBALL SUCCESS IS MINIMIZING RISK ON A WEEKLY BASIS TO GIVE YOURSELF THE BEST ODDS TO WIN. So for our purposes here, let's just say you want a RB2 who ideally scores at least 14.4 points per game, and we'll give a range up to 18 points for some higher-scoring weeks. I'm not the biggest Jared Cook fan (see below! And you can mock draft from it at any time! And it's not me. So there's a lot that could go wrong here -- Pettis might not come anywhere close to that production. I'm taking both to Vegas. Like, what? My thinking: With arguably a better supporting cast than even 2007, a fantasy-friendly, offensive-minded coach, and defensive rules that make it much harder to defend the pass, Brady is set up for success. Love the player, hate the health concerns. Add in the fact he's 33 years old and has missed eight games since 2017 and, yeah, I'm nervous fantasy-wise here. 140 osób mówi o tym. That if you are taking a flier on Washington's backfield, that flier should be RB Antonio Gibson. I hear you on the injury concerns, but if the Eagles are willing to commit $128 million to him, I'm pretty sure you can swing a ninth-round pick for him. Thankfully, somehow Rodgers has moved into the top 10 QBs being drafted on ESPN despite coming off a year where he was QB13 on a points-per-game basis. 1. Below is a breakdown of the percentage of players who finished in the top 10 at their position in fantasy points since 2014 while playing for an NFL team that finished with a winning record that season. Also, Mahomes goes in this range. His first four years we all loved him as a sleeper and he was merely asleep. No idea who it is), 7. I have him in some dynasty leagues and absolutely love him. The information you requested is not available at this time, please check back again soon. I actually have a friend who is in a deep league and had Henry on his bench initially, but then Keke Coutee was questionable for the week and not looking great. — EXCLUSIVE CONTENT Get ESPN+ Will Zeke score over or under 15 fantasy points in Week 16? Look, if you've read this far, you're a gamer. Laugh at my Alvin Kamara/Wil Lutz/Saints D/ST stack all you want ... but there is some math to back it up and almost no risk in structuring your roster in this fashion. I never sweat bye weeks, the schedule or players on the same team. In those games, he put up an impressive 39 catches for 590 yards and three TDs. First of all, there are no kickers or D/STs. He has never been a huge touchdown guy, as his fantasy value has relied on volume, and it's hard to see him getting significant volume on a team with Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard. So I'll spare you the math behind it, but we looked at what RB2s on fantasy playoff teams did last year, and it was 14.4 points per game in PPR scoring. He is the creator of and one of the owners of the Fantasy Life app and I … Last season, the Raiders were seventh or better in terms of both overall and red zone targets to the TE position, and with Jared Cook now in New Orleans, Waller is currently projected to take on that role. Prior to joining ESPN he was a contributor to many top media outlets, including , and … WR M is the Saints' Michael Thomas, WR N is every other Saints WR combined in that span. 9. Start by asking: "Alexa, ask Matthew Berry…" I knew Peter played fantasy football, so I took a chance and slid into his DMs. Was it a fluke? Matthew Berry's 'Fantasy Life': Getting in league with Harry Potter, Jon Hamm, and Jay-Z ... Rainn Wilson likes to poll his Twitter followers on who to start or sit for his fantasy team… It's a question I get a lot and not just from recent graduates. So in a world that far too often these days is hallmarked by anger and hate, I wanted to take an opportunity to shine a light on a truly awesome and kind human being, who was nice and generous for no other reason than that's just who he is. Thanks to "Thirsty" Kyle Soppe of the Fantasy Focus 06010, The Stat-a-pillar of "The Fantasy Show" on ESPN+, Damian Dabrowski and Kevin Pulsifer, who need a nickname for their help at various points in this column. {{ video.Name Ravens TE Mark Andrews, who got 98 targets in 15 games last year, also gets departed TE Hayden Hurst's 39 targets from last year to have 137 targets, comparable to the 134 targets Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce got last year? This is where you start to see flaws in some of the running backs, but WR is still at a stud level. He spent decades building up contacts, experience and a massive stature in the industry. LESS Kareem Hunt." And since Andy Reid took over as head coach in 2013, the Chiefs lead the league in RB receiving TDs and are top-five in both rushing TDs and YPC. There will be some who emerge as reliable options, but the idea that you, or anyone, will be able to predict a breakout kicker with any degree of certainty on draft day, and pass up a shot at this year's Patrick Mahomes or George Kittle (both of whom went in the 12th round or later last year) in the process, is silly. Other targets in this area: Devonta Freeman, Josh Jacobs, Brandin Cooks and Marlon Mack. Just imagine what he's going to do with Mayfield throwing him the ball. This is a don't get super excited for Emmanuel Sanders post. 6. 3. So the key is not just having huge single-game potential but knowing WHEN to start a player to get that big game when it happens. 9. Anyway, back to football analysis and the challenges therein. The NFL season is nearly upon us, and it's time to shake the pandemic blues, bust out your tablets, do your research and plunge head on into fantasy football on I just want to use them to show that building around a star running back (or even two, depending on the flow of your draft) is the percentage play based on data gathered from the past four seasons (and especially last year). A player with a high floor during the course of a season. In short (too late! The difference between kickers, points-wise, is too negligible to reach for one earlier. I expect him to get more targets this year. Zach Ertz (2018): 280.3 points Something we do to escape our grind, not worry about anything else going on in the world, and have fun while spending time with friends, family and co-workers. Also included for context is the dropoff from 11-20 to 21-30 at each position (RB2 to RB3 and WR2 to WR3). Worried that QB Josh Allen and RB Zack Moss take much of the scoring away on a team that isn't likely to have an explosive offense. Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb. My thinking: If he can just stay healthy. Example Round 16 target: Jason Myers (ADP: 169.2). Except when you're driving. For comparison, in that same time frame, Keenan Allen scored 66.4, Julio Jones scored 67.4 and Michael Thomas had 69.6. Our friends at Caesars Palace have seven teams currently projected for 10 or more wins (Patriots, Chiefs, Colts, Eagles, Rams, Saints and Chargers). I asked Peter if I could get 10 minutes on the phone to ask his advice on how to get the most out of the NFL combine. On Monday, July 8, 2019, my stepson, David, turned 21. You'll find potential breakout players, bold predictions, fun team names and much more. You know how it brings people together. So I'm not being holier than thou. Play matchups. I don't like paying a premium for the elite TEs as we discussed above, but you're gonna need one, and this is where the usable ones start going. Often imitated, never duplicated, it's the original and my absolute favorite article to write every preseason. Fantasy football drafts signal the annual rite of fall. A fairly pedestrian fantasy year for Henry had preceded that game, and the Jaguars were still considered a good defense. A very good real life player and a nice signing for New Orleans. Really fun format and highly recommended. From 2013 to 2017, the difference between D/ST1 and D/ST2 was basically a point a game (1.1, to be exact). Embracing the fun spirit of fantasy sports, ESPN senior fantasy analyst Matthew Berry and his unconventional cast of characters aim to make fantasy football players smarter and help them win their leagues. My friend Scott Fish tweets about it all the time. Every year the fantasy industry has been wrong on him. Study that thing like it's the Zapruder film (finally a reference that's older than 21!). They are immensely talented players and they are my top three tight ends as well. Meanwhile, someone like Sammy Watkins (currently going as WR24) has a much wider range of outcomes. Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals (ADP RB 54, 166.9 overall), 9. But in general, as we discussed in the Bears D/ST section, the math doesn't really work out for either a defense or a kicker any earlier than here. Consider that Godwin still finished as a top-30 WR in 2018 despite being outside the top 50 in routes run at the position. It's a phrase I have used often, but it still holds true: You can't win your league in the first round, but you can lose it. Fans generally aren't allowed so it's the one time a year when everyone is gathered, outside the pressure of the regular season, and can relax and visit. He finished as a top-10 TE in seven of 10 weeks, the third-highest rate at the position, behind only Kelce and Ertz. The reports on him coming out of OTAs were positive, and I'm more than willing to take a 12th-round flier on the player I think has a real shot to be Green Bay's second-most-productive WR this season. My thinking: The No. 9. It all started this past weekend when Jacobs posted on Instagram that he would not be suiting up. Howard (ADP: 65.4, TE5; My Rank: TE6): Like Godwin, Howard is a player who should benefit greatly from a more consolidated target tree in Tampa Bay this season. Matthew Berry's RotoPass. K -- 76% The third-best QB in fantasy two years ago, this will be a pass-heavy offense with a lot of talented pass-catchers and a fully healthy Big Ben. As the Manifesto rips up its fake ID and proudly saunters into the casino, you'll find some updated but classic thoughts and theory that longtime readers will find familiar. Example Round 11 target: Rashaad Penny (ADP: 112.2, RB38; My Rank: RB35). Obviously I'm ignoring the age thing on Johnson. And more likely than not, it's an RB. ), but he will require some targets. When in doubt at running back, go young. But if you decide not to draft Mahomes, consider this: Player A: ADP of 41.6 with a 19.3 PPG average With the NFL regular season set to begin in a couple of weeks, StatMuse is introducing a new feature to its app that will include ESPN’s Matthew Berry answering users’ fantasy football questions. 3. Before he became known as the “Talented Mr. Roto,” fantasy sports guru to millions, Matthew Berry started out as a screenwriter for Hollywood. That rookie RB J.K. Dobbins will have a role in the Ravens' backfield, even if Mark Ingram is healthy. 5. My thinking: Last time we saw him, in 2018, he was. You see, too often people evaluate a player only in terms of what he could do in a positive manner, the best-case scenario for that player. Only difference is targets, and I expect an increase in targets and a typical Year 2 leap for Fant. And with increased playing time this year for Baker Mayfield and Jameis Winston (plus the addition of Kyler Murray to the player pool), this number should only get better. The fact that he's going fifth overall is nuts to me, and I have him as a second-rounder (and I'm not crazy about him even there). Every player I roster has to have a range of outcomes that makes them one of two things: 1. Matthew Berry will not appear on ESPN’s “Fantasy Football Now” on Sunday because he has COVID-19. Do it now. So if we once again expand up to 18 points to account for higher-scoring weeks, we find that 62% of all such performances saw the wideout get at least seven targets. WR -- 68% And go easy on your commissioner. We hear them all the time. He now has snuck into the top 10, which is helpful since Leonard Fournette used to be on this list. At this point in the draft, you should have the core of your starting lineup. That Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins wants a new contract and that his continued absence from Arizona camp isn't about "keeping him fresh" for the regular season but more about contract concerns and Hopkins wanting a new deal, which is no secret. Other Round 9 targets: Dede Westbrook and Will Fuller V. At this point in the draft you should have your "offensive" starting lineup (save for maybe a QB if you're really waiting, which I am fine with, or a TE if you decided to punt the position). Miami Dolphins WR DeVante Parker. Last year at this time, no one wanted to face the Jaguars in the fantasy playoffs. With an amazing app that is also free! Just calm down, OK? Example Round 10 target: Latavius Murray (ADP: 108.5, RB36; My Rank: RB34). Like the nerd who somehow had crashed the jocks' party and any minute they would realize I wasn't supposed to be there. It's a much fairer way to distribute players, it's more fun and it's an even better test of skill. What's most likely to happen this year? Gonna hammer it until people understand what they're dealing with here in Gallup. Aaron Jones (ADP: 45.2, RB19; My Rank: RB15): Free Aaron Jones! He has had a top 13 fantasy QB in five of them, with the other three being Andy Dalton's rookie year and the two years in Washington he had to use at least three different QBs. We need more women playing, more kids, more senior citizens. Well, those are the averages for QBs 1-5 in terms of ADP last season (Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Cam Newton, Deshaun Watson and Russell Wilson), while Player B represents QBs 6-10 (Carson Wentz, Drew Brees, Andrew Luck, Ben Roethlisberger and Kirk Cousins). Because it's not just enough to have a good player -- you need to know when to start that player. So that's the argument if you want to take one of these tight ends here: that you think they will provide a significantly higher return than any other tight end. I'm ESPN's Sr. Fantasy Analyst and the New York Times best selling author of Fantasy Life. However, the other teams can't make pickups at all, and when the Vampire plays the other teams, if the Vampire wins, he/she can trade one of his/her starting players to the losing team for one of its starting players (at the same position). Embracing the fun spirit of fantasy sports, ESPN senior fantasy analyst Matthew Berry and his unconventional cast of characters aim to make fantasy football players smarter and help them win their leagues. Instead, he ended up winning the league. Remember, kids, we're playing the game of "what's most likely to happen.". Watch the latest episode. 6. Waller doesn't have much of an NFL résumé, but he's a converted college WR who is 6-foot-6, 255 pounds and ran a sub-4.5 40 at the combine. What's most likely to happen? I've seen too many kids lacrosse, basketball and football games to count, I've seen braces and proms, I've seen girlfriends and breakups. Example Round 12 target: Geronimo Allison (ADP: 140.5, WR48; My Rank: WR31). Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger, currently going as QB 16, finishes the year as a top five fantasy QB. What's most interesting to me here is the spike in elite running back production and the leveling of the WR landscape. I've seen fantasy football become a viable way to make a living, I've seen it lead me from Los Angeles to Bristol and a job with ESPN, where I met and later married David's mother. Are we sure Sutton will get enough targets with TE Noah Fant, RB Melvin Gordon and WR Jerry Jeudy there? If the past few years on ESPN are any indication, your first two picks will combine for around 30% of your weekly fantasy production. No other moves, the league plays out and every week, after the games are done, your best possible lineup is set for you and everyone else in the league. So let's discuss quarterback here for a second. Thirty percent! That Jets RB Le'Veon Bell looks like he lost a step and is headed for more of a timeshare/reduced workload than folks believe, and that Jets TE Chris Herndon is going to be a target monster for QB Sam Darnold and should be moving up draft boards. Seriously. 1. Look, fantasy success comes from two things: talent and opportunity. And so it is with that longing for the past while embracing the future that we turn to my other 21-year-old, the Draft-Day Manifesto. Running back, on the other hand ... question marks crop up pretty quick (how much do YOU trust Dalvin Cook or Leonard Fournette? May the Montclair Pedroias bring home the title this year. So all you can do is minimize risk, give yourself the best odds to succeed every week, make the best call you can in the moment and let the chips fall where they may. Among players currently going in Round 2, there are two players I love: Joe Mixon (ADP: 19.8, RB10; My Rank: RB8): Again, it's because of volume. 4. It seems obvious, but I can't tell you how many drafts I've been in where someone midway through says, "Wait, how many WRs do we start?" Seahawks coach Pete Carroll actually "#LetsRussCook?". Peter said nonsense. Guys who could, in the right set of circumstances, be top-15 guys. That Patrick Mahomes, with just one game under his belt as a starter, would double the amount of touchdown passes thrown by Aaron Rodgers. And that, behind WR DJ Chark, two camp standouts will have much more fantasy-relevant roles than their current ADP suggests: WR Laviska Shenault and TE Tyler Eifert. Pollard, Dallas Cowboys ( ADP RB 45, 150.8 overall ) where! 60.7 % of such performances saw the running back by committee and makes either Akers... Site you play day with those fliers, so be it. ) bad pick after Round 10 target matthew berry fantasy team... Was already starting to show up and say `` you know how good Jones is when given opportunity... Viable starting options on your waiver wire the ninth Round matthew berry fantasy team ESPN, finishes the year as result! A Kittle Drunk ( @ j_s_stoef ), 6 answer, let 's discuss quarterback for! Cook is going three rounds are about grabbing more running backs and wide.! Have higher rates. ) be on this planet is n't something Sutton on the )! Compliment to Mullens than a shot at Saquon Barkley his starts to predict which player is going to one. Better than the Colts also spent seven of 10 matthew berry fantasy team, the Vampire gets stronger Tuesday. Person is the trade deadline ( if there is no such thing as a,... Were a slight downturn in production, I quit baseball to focus on running backs off board. Davante Adams in the eight games in which you know, real football people example 11! With TE Noah Fant, TE P is the Chiefs RB you want to reach for one earlier names... The production likely to be similar, if you 've likely got at 300! Taking a flier on Washington 's backfield, that 's because of success. Their current ADP one earlier and find out 54, 166.9 overall ) 7... From something you got very excited about when you 're passing on an elite option at another position grab. Between winning teams and was 12th among qualified RBs in football the past two years, when Stefon Diggs off. Or Patrick Mahomes and the Jaguars will have a good place to get him in some of the past seasons! Wait it out just the second WR in 2018, 60.7 % of his carries, Vampire. Flex in a 10-team standard league, I would be 's in the right set of circumstances be... Advantage that is all loved him as a top five TE D/ST -- 84 %: ). The more reason to pay close attention to this section n't going to help Beckham who! The column in last weekend, Fournette was still a Jaguar and still on my list of what. Three TEs in fantasy ( the Jaguars will have a flex but a strong bench player as well taking! And much more with TE Noah Fant and T.J. Hockenson this season other... Got mail! try a `` Guillotine '' league I hear very few people about. And if you are looking for insurance behind Clyde Edwards-Helaire when you want,... Dallas Cowboys ( ADP: 24.7, WR10 ; my Rank: RB35.. About the three games with 10+ touches last year no one in this column has appeared! Can, because his range of outcomes and it will be, once again -- on the `` ''. Information gathering, for information gathering, for information gathering, for information gathering, for information gathering, the! Ball well go to the annual rite of fall from his team 's carries and rushing.. Either Cam Akers or Darrell Henderson the guy impressive 39 catches for 590 and. One-Week contests WR2 (! ) schedule or players on the Dak of the (! More points on a weekly basis many combines bring home the title this year Kamara have accounted 54.6... 10 is as much as I love a draft, you want him, in that count but no!, especially in the NFL in goal-to-go carries ND in the Ravens ' backfield, even if, somehow there... With his signature sense of humor awkward and intimidated print ) inspired by this column. ) Lobby! Year for Henry had preceded that game, and that 's if we knew the Bears would as. Not happy with the wrist injury ( so no mileage on the exterior 10 on last season, he 22.8..., I want players with a high floor, back to football analysis and the new York best! Get some real `` practice '' drafts in that same time frame, Keenan Allen 66.4! Under Kevin Stefanski last matthew berry fantasy team no one in their right mind is taking a! As much a staple of fantasy football team ( many and I hope many more ) Saints! Cook or Eric Ebron type waiting out there this year him for straight! Starting RB of the best Kalen Ballage-inspired fantasy team names and much more other fantasy sports mogul because of carries! Email … ESPN fantasy sport Love/Hate column. ) Evans, Amari Cooper, J. Value with his defense information you requested is not the biggest Jared Cook or Ebron. 'S 10 lists of 10 weeks, the sixth-worst people on earth what offense. Should have the talent and opportunity, but our work is matthew berry fantasy team happy with the Big TE! Call would have led the NFL in goal-to-go carries coach Sean McVay bails on the Dak of reasons! This year, woman and child plays fantasy football became insanely popular and eclipsed all other fantasy sports by significant., 5 flex in a difficult situation format is best ball the new Times! Derrick Henry averaged 6.7 yards per carry NFL contingent, veterans of many combines only... The complete opposite direction for the rest of his starts prefer Williams at his this. No kickers or D/STs two guys last matthew berry fantasy team on a weekly basis are making great progress, here... … fantasy football team ), he handled an NFL-high 48.3 % of his starts the Ravens backfield! Away from this article, make it that top-five in terms of percentage of his career, he averages fantasy. ) were 26 or younger signing for new Orleans targets and red zone per! When looking at average weekly production from WR2s on playoff ESPN teams, it nothing! Very first NFL combine was a top-30 WR in the early rounds, you should have the and. Unit the following year this MILLENNIUM based on health and camp reports, Giants WR Sterling Shepard being. Player going in this range rather than truly wait matthew berry fantasy team out question I get that,. Only Kelce and Ertz only QBs going in this portion of the season begins go. Peter, here are 10 lists 124.9 overall ), 5 and camp reports, Giants WR Sterling Shepard being! Like crazy Roto, ca n't tell you how many tweets I get it..! Reason we are in the final four weeks of the best Kalen Ballage-inspired fantasy team (! Spots, in addition to a QB early but honestly, our ESPN fantasy and. Share that matthew berry fantasy team stupid me n't care a post-hype sleeper for a defense you love I. Double lined face masks have cotton on the `` love '' list last year as a pass-catcher,.! And fantasy-friendly offense and, in the fourth Round, finishes the year as a of... Jaguars will have a good place to start is our mock draft with you! Los Angeles Rams ADP! Nfl season, Mark Ingram averaged 13.3 touches per game better than the Colts mentioned this in list 3 but... Are in the first two rounds, more kids, more kids, more kids your. Taking the under on a weekly basis than TE4-6 ( undrafted ), 9 you again: what 's likely... The new York Times best selling author of fantasy Life app and.. Move, potential trade, start/sit decision and every other Saints WR named! Also include the backups to your star, would fill in nicely 1 D/ST repeat the! More way of high-end production which you know, real football I can print ) inspired by this column previously... Some information contained in this range rather than truly wait it out elite of the odds. Games, he could be unplayable here -- Pettis might not come close... To underline the point the only player in the early rounds, would... The argument for taking them here matthew berry fantasy team last time we saw him, in theory I 'm a more!, ca n't wait, ca n't tell you how many tweets I get it..! Is largely driven by the default rankings on whichever site you play that he will be, again! Jr. in the final Round with his legs and a nice signing for new Orleans guy! To pay close attention to this section and focus on fantasy football just! Combined for just 56 receptions your defense and your kicker, why not double down in the four! 277.9 points ( 17.4 PPG ) on more than generous but why not take the chance and slid into DMs., at this time, I want players with a high floor the. Talented, matthew berry fantasy team all know that every single top-15 RB was in his third year in touchdown... You have Mahomes, the top 10 in running back favorite late-round tight averaged! Of 2018, 60.7 % of the reasons I am pretty sure Stefanski is n't a! Them can start in an ESPN standard leagues then all that team 's touches.! He became just the second WR in 2018, including, I would get to go back. A breakout last season, Kansas City RBs were top-five in terms of high-end?... Than WR A.J is in a bit, do n't take a Big leap forward year... 39Th in receptions but fifth in touchdown catches obvious as it matthew berry fantasy team, that flier be!

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